{"id":13285,"date":"2025-11-20T16:59:34","date_gmt":"2025-11-20T21:59:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/?p=13285"},"modified":"2025-11-20T16:59:35","modified_gmt":"2025-11-20T21:59:35","slug":"u-s-job-growth-stronger-than-forecast-in-september","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/?p=13285","title":{"rendered":"U.S. job growth stronger than forecast in September"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Payroll rebound and higher unemployment rate<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The United States added <strong>119,000 jobs<\/strong> in September, well above expectations for 50,000, according to the first Bureau of Labor Statistics report since the record 44-day government shutdown. The gain followed a downward revision showing <strong>4,000 jobs lost<\/strong> in August. July\u2019s total was also revised slightly lower. Despite the surprise increase, the unemployment rate rose to <strong>4.4 percent<\/strong>, its highest level since October 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wage growth showed mixed signals. Average hourly earnings grew <strong>0.2 percent<\/strong> on the month and <strong>3.8 percent<\/strong> year over year. The figures were slightly softer than economists\u2019 monthly forecast but marginally above expectations on an annual basis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists noted that the report provides only a partial snapshot. The data was collected before the shutdown and does not capture more recent labor market conditions. Daniel Zhao, chief economist at Glassdoor, said the results highlight resilience before the government closure but also \u201ca muddy picture\u201d due to revisions and the climb in unemployment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market reaction and implications for the Federal Reserve<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Financial markets welcomed the release. Stock futures rose and Treasury yields eased as investors assessed the mix of stronger payrolls and higher unemployment. Traders continued to expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its <strong>9-10 December<\/strong> meeting, the final policy gathering of the year. Minutes from the October meeting signaled reluctance among policymakers to cut rates again without clearer evidence on economic momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, said the report was \u201cbackward looking\u201d but still influential for markets. She noted that equities favored the stronger payroll number, while bond markets focused on the cooling wage data and uptick in unemployment, both of which might leave the door \u201cjust barely open\u201d for a December rate cut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sector breakdown and labor force dynamics<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Job creation came mainly from services. <strong>Health care<\/strong> added <strong>43,000 positions<\/strong>, consistent with its steady pace this year. Bars and restaurants grew payrolls by <strong>37,000<\/strong>, while social assistance contributed <strong>14,000<\/strong>. Losses were concentrated in transportation and warehousing, which shed <strong>25,000 jobs<\/strong>, and in professional and business services, where a drop of <strong>16,000<\/strong> temporary help positions contributed to an overall decline of <strong>20,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Federal government employment also fell by <strong>3,000<\/strong>, adding to a year-to-date loss of <strong>97,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The household survey provided additional context. Employment rose by <strong>251,000<\/strong> and the labor force expanded by <strong>470,000<\/strong>, reaching a record <strong>171.2 million<\/strong>. The participation rate edged up to <strong>62.4 percent<\/strong>, the highest level since May. Full-time employment increased sharply by <strong>673,000<\/strong> while part-time employment dropped by <strong>573,000<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Data delays and the road ahead<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The shutdown disrupted normal data collection, creating uncertainty for policymakers weighing the next steps on interest rates. Officials cut borrowing costs in September and October but stressed the difficulty of navigating policy without timely indicators. Minutes from the October meeting showed many preferred to delay an additional cut in December.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the September figures now available, the BLS plans to release combined jobs data for October and November on <strong>16 December<\/strong>. However, because household surveys were not completed during the shutdown, October\u2019s report will be released without an unemployment rate calculation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Payroll rebound and higher unemployment rate The United States added 119,000 jobs in September, well above expectations for 50,000, according to the first Bureau of Labor Statistics report since the record 44-day government shutdown. The gain followed a downward revision showing 4,000 jobs lost in August. July\u2019s total was also revised slightly lower. Despite the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10772,"featured_media":13286,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3189],"class_list":{"0":"post-13285","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-world","8":"tag-h"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13285","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/10772"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13285"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13285\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13287,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13285\/revisions\/13287"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13286"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13285"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13285"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalgazette.us\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13285"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}